Based on BCG predictive modelling leveraging John Hopkins University data, the BCG team deep dived on top 20 markets to project the evolution of two main variables: – # of daily new cases – Total 'active' infected patients (excludes people infected and, either quarantined, recovered or dead)
This is a work-in-progress scenario model of a highly dynamic situation. The modelling depends on a number of assumptions, which may or may not be supported to varying extents in your geography. The results are scenarios for consideration, not BCG forecasts about the future.
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BCG - Epidemic Projections.pdf1791.9KB